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More than 50m Americans cast ballots in early voting with three days to go before midterms

The Guardian Lire l’original

9.0 / 10 Bien étayée

Le score indique dans quelle mesure les faits vérifiés sont étayés par des sources indépendantes au moment de la vérification. Ce n’est ni un verdict de vérité absolue, ni une note attribuée au média.

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10 faits trouvés dans l’article, 8 vérifiés

Article publié

Vérifié avec claude-haiku-5-5 · Méthode 2026-10-10.

Faits vérifiés

  1. Confirmée More than 50.5 million early votes had been cast across the US as of Saturday morning, according to an analysis by the University of Florida.

    IA Multiple results state that more than 50.5 million early votes had been cast across the US as of Saturday morning, according to an analysis by the University of Florida, matching the claim's core figure, source and timing. Several of these reports (Times of India, APA, A47 News) appear to derive from the same underlying University of Florida analysis, so they are not fully independent confirmations.

  2. Confirmée 10.7 million registered Democrats had voted early so far in the states that collate party affiliation data, compared with 7.8 million registered Republicans.

    IA Several results report that, in states that track party affiliation, 10.7 million registered Democrats had voted early compared with 7.8 million registered Republicans. These sources appear to trace back to a single Guardian report, so they are not independent confirmations.

  3. Confirmée More than 7 million people had already voted early in Texas, according to University of Florida data.

    IA Al Jazeera and NewsNation both report that more than 7 million people in Texas had already voted early, citing the University of Florida Election Lab data. Both results rely on the same University of Florida dataset, so they are not independent confirmations of the figure.

  4. Confirmée As of Wednesday, 862,700 people had voted in Harris County, Texas, compared with 564,500 at the same point in 2022, according to an Associated Press analysis.

    IA Multiple results state that as of Wednesday 862,700 people had voted in Harris County, compared with 564,500 at the same point in 2022, citing an Associated Press analysis. The results appear to repeat a single AP report, so this is one original source reproduced by several outlets rather than independent confirmation.

  5. Confirmée In South Carolina, early voting is up 83% compared with the 2022 midterms, according to the Associated Press.

    IA Multiple results state that in South Carolina early voting is up 83% from the same point four years ago, and they attribute the data to The Associated Press. The AP article itself is the primary source, and the other results (WBOC, NewsNation, Spectrum) reprint or repeat that same AP data, so they are not independent confirmation. The results do not explicitly say the comparison is with the 2022 midterms by name, but 'four years ago' refers to that cycle.

  6. Confirmée Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority going into the midterm elections.

    IA Multiple results state that Republicans currently hold a 53-47 Senate majority heading into the 2026 midterms, including WBAL, Fox News, and the AP. Ballotpedia's 53-45 figure counts two independents separately and still gives Democrats 47 votes for organizational purposes, so it is consistent rather than contradictory. Some of these reports may share a common underlying count, but the figure is consistently reported.

Non vérifiables

Aucune source indépendante ne les a confirmées ni démenties. Cela ne veut pas dire qu’elles sont fausses.

  1. Non vérifiée The early vote total is nearly 5 million more than the total number of early votes cast in the 2022 midterm elections.

    IA The claim gives no date, and the results report different gaps over time: Scripps shows 51.3 million early ballots versus 45.9 million in 2022 (about 5.4 million more), while USA Today reports over 54 million, 8 million more than 2022. Because the results disagree on the difference and none states a figure of nearly 5 million for a specific date, the claim cannot be confirmed or contradicted.

  2. Non vérifiée In 2024, Kamala Harris defeated Donald Trump in Harris County by nearly 6% in the presidential contest.

    IA The results cover the national and Texas statewide 2024 results and show partial Harris County vote tallies (Result 4 is an incomplete cumulative report), but none states Harris's margin over Trump in Harris County. The claim's core figure of nearly 6% therefore cannot be checked.

Non vérifiées

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